GDP for Agricultural Industries

QuestionA student is looking for data similar to that found in CANSIM 379-0028 for industries under NAICS code 11 (Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting) but at greater detail. The above table goes to 3 and sometimes 4-digit NAICS codes, but she's wondering if even more detail is available somewhere. Any suggestions?

Answer"The data found in CANSIM table 379-0028 is not available at the national level. With that said, it is possible to calculate a national percentage share by multiplying the provincial shares found in CANSIM table 379-0028 by the provincial GDP found in CANSIM table 384-0037 and deriving a national share by adding together all the provincial values and dividing by the GDP for Canada."

Questions about price definitions for joining two CANSIM tables

Question

A researcher would like to join two CANSIM tables for a continuous provincial/territorial GDP time series

To this end, we are wondering if the prices for the two tables below can be harmonized as current market prices? Please see below for the specifics of the two tables.

Also, was GDP being tracked province by province (& territories) before 1961? If so, where would this have been published? I note that cat. no. 13-213 only goes back to 1961 – I couldn’t readily find anything before this. Cat. no. 13-001 (1953 - ) doesn’t seem to break the provinces down.

CANSIM table 384-0015 1961-1980 What prices … Are these variables all available in current market prices?  We note that these variables are at market prices, but there is no metadata on whether these are current prices.  Are they?	CANSIM table 384-0038 1981-2013 What prices … Are these variables, all in market prices?  We note that we can select Prices=Current prices.  There is no metadata on whether these are market prices.  Are they?
Variables of interest	Variables of interest

Answer

Both GDP estimations in CANSIM table 384-0015 and 384-0038 are at market prices (i.e. “Provincial gross domestic product (GDP) at market prices” and “Gross domestic product at market prices”, respectively). Here is a definition of market prices:

Amounts of money that willing buyers pay to acquire something from willing sellers; the exchanges are made between independent parties and on the basis of commercial considerations only, sometimes called “at arm's length.”

Current prices refer to the prices at a specific time period (i.e. year). Here is the definition :

Transactions, assets or liabilities are said to be expressed in current prices if the prices used in their valuation are the prices prevailing in the period of observation; that is both the quantity and the price components of the value series relate to the current period. Period-to-period changes in current price values may reflect changes in both quantities and prices.

The first year where there is data on GDP by province is 1961. The data in CANSIM table 384-0015 are based on SNA 1968 concepts; SNA 1997 has since been adopted and CANSIM table 384-0038 is currently based on SNA 2008 concepts. In addition to the change in concepts, a constant dollar estimate was not produced in 384-0015 and therefore it would not be possible to harmonize the prices.

Quarterly GDP 1920 to Present

Question

A PhD student is looking for quarterly GDP figures (nominal and real) from 1920 to the present. Such quarterly numbers are readily available from CANSIM from 1961 to 2008, but I could only find annual GDP for years prior to 1961. Historical Statistics of Canada cite National Income and Expenditure Accounts, Volume 1, The Annual Estimates, 1926-1974, (Catalogue 13-531) as their source but this publication, as its name implies, only presents annual data.

Are quarterly figures for 1920-1960 available through DLI or otherwise?



Answer

In the footnotes for the National Income and Expenditure and Related Aggregates, 1926 to 1976 (Series F1-152) section of "Historical Statistics of Canada", I found the following remark:

"The period of measurement for all the data given here is a year. Statistics Canada also publishes quarterly data which are available as far back as 1947."

In keeping with this, there is a publication called "National Income and Expenditure Accounts: Quarterly Estimates" (cat. no. 13-533) which provides gross national product and also gross domestic product at factor cost for 1947-1974.  If you don't have access to this publication, we could fax you Table 3, which shows both Gross National Product at market prices and Gross Domestic Product at factor cost.  However, be aware that due to revisions the data may not be comparable with the 1961+ data you have already found.



Follow-up question

We have that publication and I was able to verify that the quarterly data is presented therein. So as far as you can tell there is no quarterly data prior to 1947?



Follow-up answer

Yes that is correct.  I consulted with our historical catalogues and other reference materials (i.e. Guide to managing Statistics Canada publications in libraries, cat. no. 11-208E) and I could not find any quarterly data on this prior to 1947.

GDP of the UK

Question

I have a researcher who is looking for data for the last thirty years on the GDP of the UK as well as real interest rates over the same time period. I doubt that this will surprise those of you who know me but I can not, for the life of me, find this data. Can I ask for some assistance here?


Answer


Did you check the GDP Time Series Data at the UK National Statistics site? Seems to go back to about 1948.

http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/tsdtables1.asp?vlnk=gdpo

Saskatchewan GDP

Question

A patron is looking of Saskatchewan GDP by Industry, Current Dollars from 2004-2006 (or latest). Cansim table 379-0025 provides figures till 2003 by province. I am wondering if the data is available after 2003.

Answer

The current dollar GDP by industry for 2004 for Saskatchewan will be released this fall. The author division has indicated that these tables come from the Input Output tables which are released 3 years after the reference period (2004 would be released in 2007, etc).

Manitoba GDP - Monthly

Question

I have a student requesting _monthly_ GDP for Manitoba from 1990 to 2004. I thought that would be easy - but the closest I can come is quarterly.

Is monthly available?

Answer

Statistics Canada only produces Provincial GDP annually.

Here is the link to the quarterly e-pub that the Manitoba Ministry of Finance produces using our data and their forecasts.

http://www.gov.mb.ca/iedm/invest/busfacts/economy/ec_outlook.html

Also find an economic highlights pdf that the Ministry of Finance (Manitoba) creates that may be helpful in addressing your student's request.

http://www.gov.mb.ca/finance/reports/pdf/highlights.pdf

GDP for CMAs

Question

I have a faculty member looking for GDP for Vancouver and Winnipeg. I think this would be available from the Conference Board of Canada and a substantial cost, but is it lurking somewhere beyond my reach in a CANSIM table?

Answer

Stats Can does not compute any GDP for cities or sub-provincial regions.

As far as I know, the only place where you can find GDP for regions/cities is at the Conference Board, though I am not aware of their methodology.

Also, the Institut de la statistique du Quebec is currently developing a methodology to calculate GDP by administrative regions (there are 13 administrative regions in Quebec) and they already have put some numbers on their website. It is still experimental though, and they plan to reveal final numbers as well as their methodology in 2006 (according to their website).